A Posteriori Probabilistic Bounds of Convex Scenario Programs with Validation Tests

Scenario programs have established themselves as efficient tools towards decision-making under uncertainty. To assess the quality of scenario-based solutions a posteriori, validation tests based on Bernoulli trials have been widely adopted in practice. However, to reach a theoretically reliable judgement of risk, one typically needs to collect massive validation samples. In this work, we propose new a posteriori bounds for convex scenario programs with validation tests, which are dependent on both realizations of support constraints and performance on out-of-sample validation data. The proposed bounds enjoy wide generality in that many existing theoretical results can be incorporated as particular cases. To facilitate practical use, a systematic approach for parameterizing a posteriori probability bounds is also developed, which is shown to possess a variety of desirable properties allowing for easy implementations and clear interpretations. By synthesizing comprehensive information about support constraints and validation tests, improved risk evaluation can be achieved for randomized solutions in comparison with existing a posteriori bounds. Case studies on controller design of aircraft lateral motion are presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed a posteriori bounds

\Lambda_b Lifetime from the HQET Sum Rule

The HQET sum rule analysis for the \Lambda_b matrix element of the four-quark operator relevant to its lifetime is reported. Our main conclusion is that the lifetime ratio \tau(\Lambda_b)/\tau(B^0) can be as low as 0.91.Comment: 5 pages, latex, no figures, uses sprocl.sty (included). Talk by C. Liu at Int. Conf. on Flavor Phys., Zhang-Jia-Jie, 31/5-6/6 200

g-2 in composite models of leptons

Based on the bound state description of the muon and general relativistic covariant quantum field theory, we illustrate with a simple composite model that the observed deviation of (g-2)_\mu can be a demonstration of the substructure of the muon and give the constraints on the radius of the muon in different cases of light constituents and heavy constituents.Comment: 14 pages, 4 eps figures, revtex, several arguments and some references renewe